Rodrick Gorden's blog ::Mobile data traffic growth - a thought experiment & forecast

Rodrick Gorden's blog ::Mobile data traffic growth - a thought experiment & forecast

Ａ               ｓｅｒｖｉｃｅ,               ｓｏｆｔｗａｒｅ               ｖｅｎｄｏｒｓ,               ＩＴ               ｃｏｎｓｕｌｔａｎｔｓ,               ｏｒ               ａｓ               ａ               ｓｍａｌｌ               ｃｏｍｐａｎｙ               ｗｏｕｌｄ               ｌｉｋｅ               ｔｏ               ｉｎｔｒｏｄｕｃｅ               ｉｔｓ               ｏｗｎ               ｃｌｏｕｄ               ｂａｃｋｕｐ               ｓｅｒｖｉｃｅ,               ｔｈｅ               ｐｒｏｃｅｓｓ               ｉｓ               ｎｏｔ               ａｌｗａｙｓ               ａｎ               ｅａｓｙ               ｏｎｅ. Ｄａｔａ               ｂａｃｋｕｐ               ｉｓ               ｎｏｔ               ａ               ｓｍａｌｌ               ｊｏｂ,               ａ               ｂａｃｋｕｐ               ｓｅｒｖｉｃｅ               ｃａｎ               ｂｅ               ｖｅｒｙ               ｃｏｍｐｌｅｘ. Ｎｏ. Ｔｈｅｒｅ               ａｒｅ               ｎｏｔ               ｍａｎｙ               ｓｅｒｖｉｃｅｓ               ｍａｒｋｅｔ,               ｂｕｔ               ｄｏ               ｙｏｕ               ｈａｖｅ               ａ               ｃｈｏｉｃｅ? Ｆｉｒｓｔ               ａ               ｃｌｏｕｄ               ｂａｃｋｕｐ               ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ               ｐｒｏｖｉｄｅｒ,               ａｎｄ               ｔｅｃｈｎｏｌｏｇｙ               ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎｓ               ｉｎ               ｍａｎｙ               ｍａｒｋｅｔｓ,               ｅａｃｈ               ｏｆｆｅｒｉｎｇ,               ｔｈｅｒｅ               ｗｉｌｌ               ｈａｖｅ               ｔｏ               ｄｅｃｉｄｅ.                                Ｔｈｅ               ｉｎｉｔｉａｌ               ｓｔｅｐ               ｉｓ               ｔｏ               ｄｅｃｉｄｅ               ｗｈｅｒｅ               ｙｏｕ               ｓｔｏｒｅ               ｙｏｕｒ               ｉｎｆｏｒｍａｔｉｏｎ. Ｕｎｄｅｒ               ｔｈｉｓ               ｏｐｔｉｏｎ,               ｙｏｕ               ｃａｎ               ｂｒｅａｋ               ｉｔ               ｄｏｗｎ               ｉｎｔｏ               ｔｈｒｅｅ               ｃａｔｅｇｏｒｉｅｓ:                                               1               -               Ｔｈｅ               ｐｒｉｃｅ               ｉｓ               ａ               ｌｏｔ               ｏｆ               ｂａｎｄｗｉｄｔｈ,               ａｎｄ               ｈａｒｄｗａｒｅ               ｍａｎａｇｅｍｅｎｔ,               ｉｎｓｕｒａｎｃｅ               ｃｌａｉｍｓ               ａｎｄ               ｓｔｅｒｅｏｔｙｐｉｎｇ               ａｍｏｎｇ               ａ               ｎｕｍｂｅｒ               ｏｆ               ｌｏｃａｔｉｏｎｓ               ｎｅｅｄ               ｔｏ               ｂｅ               ｐｒｏｖｅｎ:               1               -               Ｓｔａｒｔ               ｙｏｕｒ               ｏｗｎ               ｄａｔａ               ｃｅｎｔｅｒ. Ｔｈｅ               ｌａｒｇｅ               ｉｎｖｅｓｔｍｅｎｔ               ｏｆ               ｔｉｍｅ               ａｎｄ               ｍｏｎｅｙ               ｒｅｑｕｉｒｅｄ. Ａ               ｌａｒｇｅ,               ｅｘｐｅｒｉｅｎｃｅｄ               ｔｅａｍ               ａｎｄ               ａ               ｌｏｔ               ｏｆ               ｍｏｎｅｙ               ｉｆ               ｉｔ               ｉｓ               ｎｏｔ               ｒｅｃｏｍｍｅｎｄｅｄ.                                2               -               ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ               ｐｒｏｖｉｄｅｒ               ｏｆ               ｓｔｏｒａｇｅ               ｆａｃｉｌｉｔｉｅｓ               ｏｆ               ｔｈｅ               Ｔｒｕｓｔ:               ｉｔ               ｒｅｑｕｉｒｅｓ               ａ               ｌｏｔ               ｏｆ               ｕｎｋｎｏｗｎ               ｉｎ               ｓｏｍｅ               ｃａｓｅｓ,               ｉｔ               ｉｓ               ｕｓｕａｌｌｙ               ａ               ＲＡＩＤ               5               ｏｒ               ＲＡＩＤ               6               ｄｉｓｋ. Ｉｔ               ｉｓ               100%               ｓｕｒｅ               ａｂｏｕｔ               ｙｏｕｒ               ｄａｔａ,               ｈｏｗ               ｔｏ               ｔｒｅａｔ               ｉｔ               ｉｎ               ｃａｓｅ               ａ               ｎａｔｕｒａｌ               ｄｉｓａｓｔｅｒ               ｃａｎ               ｎｏｔ               ｂｅ               ｋｉｌｌｅｄ               ｏｕｔｓｉｄｅ               ａ               ｓｔｏｒｅ               ｌｏｃａｔｉｏｎ? Ｔｈｉｓ               ｐｒｏｖｉｄｅｓ               ａ               ｖｅｒｙ               ｈｉｇｈ               ｓｅｃｕｒｉｔｙ               ａｎｄ               ｄａｔａ               ｆｒｏｍ               ｓｅｒｖｉｃｅ               ｐｒｏｖｉｄｅｒｓ               ｉｓ               ａ               ｇｏｏｄ               ｔｒｅａｔｍｅｎｔ               ｉｎ               ｃｅｒｔａｉｎ               ｃａｓｅｓ,               Ａｍａｚｏｎ               Ｓ3,               Ｒａｃｋ               ｓｐａｃｅ,               ｏｒ               Ｍｉｃｒｏｓｏｆｔ               Ａｚｕｒａ               ａ               ｐｕｂｌｉｃ               ｃｌｏｕｄ               ｉｎｆｒａｓｔｒｕｃｔｕｒｅ,               ｗｈｉｃｈ               ｃａｎ               ｈａｖｅ               ａ               ｂｅｔｔｅｒ               ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ.                                3               -               Ｇｅｎｅｒａｌ               Ｃｌｏｕｄ               Ｌｏｃａｔｉｏｎ:               ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎｓ               ｐｒｏｖｉｄｅｒ               ｉｆ               ｙｏｕ               ｈａｖｅ               ｔｈｉｓ               ｐｅｒｍｉｓｓｉｏｎ,               ｉｔ               ｉｓ               ｔｈｅ               ｂｅｓｔ               ｏｐｔｉｏｎ. Ｙｏｕ               ｃｏｓｔｌｙ               ａｎｄ               Ａｍａｚｏｎ               Ｓ3,               ｗｈｉｃｈ               ｉｓ               ｎｏｒｍａｌｌｙ               ａ               ｈｉｇｈ-ｃｌａｓｓ               ｎｅｅｄ               ｔｏ               ｉｎｖｅｓｔ               ｉｎ               ｔｈｅ               ｈａｒｄｗａｒｅ               ｂａｎｄｗｉｄｔｈ,               ｙｏｕ               ｃａｎ               ｃｈｏｏｓｅ               ｔｏ               ｕｓｅ               ｔｈｅ               ｎｅｔ               ｃｌｏｕｄ               ｉｎｆｒａｓｔｒｕｃｔｕｒｅ               .99.9999%               ｕｐｔｉｍｅ               ＳＬＡ               ａｎｄ               ｓｅｃｕｒｉｔｙ               ｏｆ               ｄａｔａ               ｇｕａｒａｎｔｅｅｓ               (Ｓｅｒｖｉｃｅ               Ｌｅｖｅｌ               Ａｇｒｅｅｍｅｎｔ)               ｉｓ               ｓｐｏｎｓｏｒｅｄ.                                Ｃｌｏｕｄ               ｃｏｍｐｌｅｔｅ               ｍａｎａｇｅｍｅｎｔ               ａｎｄ               ｂａｃｋｕｐ               ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ               ｆｏｒ               ａ               ｒｅａｌ               ｃｌｏｕｄ,               ｗｈｅｎ               ｉｔ               ｃｏｍｅｓ               ｔｏ               ｏｕｒ               ｃｕｓｔｏｍｅｒｓ               ｉｎ               ｍｉｎｄ,               ｉｔ               ｓｈｏｕｌｄ               ｐｒｏｖｉｄｅ               ａ               ｒｅｄｕｃｔｉｏｎ. Ｐｒｏｂｌｅｍｓ               ａｎｄ               ｅｒｒｏｒｓ               ｓｕｃｈ               ａｓ               ｙｏｕ               ｗｉｔｈ               ｔｈｅ               ｓｐｅｅｄ               ｐｒｏｂｌｅｍ               ｗａｓ               ｒｅａｌｌｙ               ｎｏｔ               ｔｏ               ｃｏｎｔｉｎｕｅ               ｗｉｔｈｏｕｔ               ｉｎｔｅｒｆｅｒｅｎｃｅ.                                Ｃｏｎｓｉｄｅｒａｔｉｏｎ               ｗｈｅｎ               ｙｏｕ               ｃｈｏｏｓｅ               ｙｏｕｒ               ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ:                                               -               Ｔｏ               ｍａｎａｇｅ               ｔｈｅ               ｅｎｔｉｒｅ               ｃｌｏｕｄ. Ｙｏｕ,               ｍａｎａｇｅｍｅｎｔ,               ｃｏｎｔｒｏｌ               ａｎｄ               ｄｉｒｅｃｔ               ｌｉｇｈｔ               ｓｈｏｕｌｄ               ｂｅ               ａｎｄ               ｃａｎ               ｈａｎｄｌｅ               ｅｖｅｒｙｔｈｉｎｇ.                                -               Ｓｐｅｅｄ               ""Æ'''¹""Æ'''¹ｗｉｌｌ               ｂｅ               ａ               ｂａｃｋｕｐ               ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ               ｉｓ               ｏｎｅ               ｏｆ               ｔｈｅ               ｍａｉｎ               ｔｈｉｎｇｓ. Ｔｈｅｒｅ               ａｒｅ               ｍａｎｙ               ｗｅｌｌ-ｋｎｏｗｎ               ｐｒｏｄｕｃｔｓ,               ｂｕｔ               ｍａｎｙ               ｆｅａｔｕｒｅｓ               ｗｉｌｌ               ｂｅ               ｖｅｒｙ               ｓｌｏｗ. Ａ               ｆｅａｔｕｒｅ-ｒｉｃｈ               ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ               ｔｈａｔ               ｍａｐｓ               ａｎｄ               ｓｉｇｎｓ               ｗｉｌｌ               ｒｅａｄ               ｆａｓｔｅｒ. Ｉｔ'ｓ               ｕｓｕａｌｌｙ               ｔｈｅ               ｂａｃｋｕｐ               ｐｒｏｃｅｓｓ               ａｓ               ｑｕｉｃｋｌｙ               ａｎｄ               ｅｆｆｉｃｉｅｎｔｌｙ               ｈｅｌｐｓ               ｔｏ               ｍｅｅｔ               ａ               ｖａｒｉｅｔｙ               ｏｆ               ｍｅｔｈｏｄｓ               ａｒｅ               ｕｓｅｄ               ｔｏ               ｈｅｌｐ               ｒｅｓｔｏｒｅ.                                -               Ｎｏ               ｍａｎｕａｌ               ｓｅｔｔｉｎｇｓ               ａｎｄ               ｐｅｒｆｏｒｍａｎｃｅ               ｅｆｆｅｃｔｓ               ｓｏｆｔｗａｒｅ               ｔｏ               ｒｕｎ               ｓｉｌｅｎｔｌｙ               ｉｎ               ｔｈｅ               ｂａｃｋｇｒｏｕｎｄ.                                -               Ｄｅｐｌｏｙ               ａｎｄ               ｓｏｍｅ               ｓｔｅｐｓ               ｔｈａｔ               ｃａｎ               ｂｅ               ｃｌｏｕｄ-ｔｏ-ｉｎｓｔａｌｌ. Ｔｏ               ｍａｎｕａｌｌｙ               ｉｎｓｔａｌｌ               ａｎｄ               ｐｅｒｓｏｎａｌ               ｃｏｍｐｕｔｅｒｓ               ｗｉｌｌ               ｎｅｖｅｒ               ｂｅ               ａ               ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ               ｔｈａｔ               ｄｅｔｅｒｍｉｎｅｓ               ｔｈｅ               ｎｅｅｄ               ｔｏ               ｗｏｒｋ.                                -               Ｐｒｏｆｉｔ               ｉｓ               ａ               ｍｏｖｅｍｅｎｔ               ｏｆ               ｔｈｅ               ｃｌｏｕｄｓ. Ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ               ｙｏｕ               ｃｈｏｏｓｅ,               ａｌｌ               ｍａｊｏｒ               ｍｏｂｉｌｅ               (ｉＰｈｏｎｅ,               ｉＰｏｄ,               Ａｎｄｒｏｉｄ,               ｅｔｃ.)               ｄｅｖｉｃｅｓ               ｔｏ               ｃｏｎｎｅｃｔ                                               -               Ｒｅｓｔｏｒｅ               Ｂａｃｋｕｐ               ｉｓ               ａ               ｂａｃｋｕｐ               ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ. Ｉｔ               ｉｓ               ｓｔｒａｉｇｈｔ               ｆｏｒｗａｒｄ,               ｓｈｏｕｌｄ               ｂｅ               ｑｕｉｃｋ               ａｎｄ               ｅａｓｙ.                                -               Ｗｈｅｎ               ｔｈｅ               ｂｌａｃｋ               ｌｅｖｅｌ               ｉｓ               ａ               ｍｕｓｔ               ｔｏ               ｓｕｐｐｏｒｔ               ｔｅｃｈｎｏｌｏｇｙ. Ｙｏｕ               ｄｏ               ｎｏｔ               ｗａｎｔ               ａ               ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ               ｔｈａｔ               ｓｕｐｐｏｒｔｓ               ｉｔ. Ｌａｒｇｅ               ｂｌａｃｋ-ｌｅｖｅｌ               "ｖｅｒｓｉｏｎｓ"               ｆｉｌｅｓ               ｍｅａｎｓ               ｔｈａｔ               ｔｈｅ               ｓｕｐｐｏｒｔ               ｉｓ               ｂｒｏｋｅｎ,               ａｎｄ               ｏｎｌｙ               ｕｎｔｉｌ               ｍｏｄｉｆｉｅｄ               ｏｒ               ｒｅｐｌａｃｅｄ               ｐａｒｔｓ. Ｔｈｉｓ               ｓａｖｅｓ               ａ               ｌｏｔ               ｏｆ               ｔｉｍｅ               ａｎｄ               ｓｐａｃｅ.                                -               Ｃｌｏｕｄｓ               ｂａｃｋｕｐ               ｄｉｓａｓｔｅｒ               ｒｅｃｏｖｅｒｙ               ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ               ｉｓ               ｏｎｅ               ｔｈａｔ               ｉｓ               ｒａｒｅ               ｔｏ               ｆｉｎｄ               ａ               ｎｅｅｄ,               ｂｕｔ               ｉｔ               ｓｈｏｕｌｄ               ｂｅ! Ｙｏｕ               ｇｉｖｅ               ｉｔ               ｔｏ               ｙｏｕｒ               ｃｕｓｔｏｍｅｒｓ,               ｂｅ               ａｂｌｅ               ｔｏ               ｂｅｎｅｆｉｔ               ｆｒｏｍ               ｉｔ               ｗｉｌｌ               ｇｉｖｅ               ｙｏｕ               ｔｈｅ               ｂｅｎｅｆｉｔ               ｏｆ               ｈｅｌｐｉｎｇ. Ｉｔ               ｈｅｌｐｓ               ｔｏ               ｓｔａｙ               ｓａｆｅ               ａｔ               ａｌｌ               ｔｉｍｅｓ. Ｍａｋｅ               ｓｕｒｅ               ｔｈａｔ               ｂｏｔｈ               ｈｏｍｅ               ａｎｄ               ｇｌｏｂａｌ               ｄｅｄｕｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎ               ｄｉｓａｓｔｅｒ               ｒｅｃｏｖｅｒｙ,               ｃｌｏｕｄ               ｓｕｐｐｏｒｔｓ,               ｏｔｈｅｒｗｉｓｅ               ｉｔ               ｉｓ               ｕｓｅｌｅｓｓ.                                -               Ｄｅｄｕｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎ               ｏｎ               ｄｉｆｆｅｒｅｎｔ               ｌｅｖｅｌｓ               ｗｉｌｌ               ａｌｓｏ               ｓａｖｅ               ａ               ｌｏｔ               ｏｆ               ｔｉｍｅ               ａｎｄ               ｓｐａｃｅ. Ｄｅｄｕｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎ               ｗｉｌｌ               ｒｅｖｅｒｂｅｒａｔｅ               ｔｈｒｏｕｇｈｏｕｔ               ｙｏｕｒ               ｅｎｔｉｒｅ               ｃｕｓｔｏｍｅｒ               ｌｉｓｔ               ｔｈａｔ               ｒｅｄｕｃｅｓ               ｔｈｅ               ａｍｏｕｎｔ               ｏｆ               ｄａｔａ.                                -               Ｗｈｅｎ               ｓｅｃｕｒｉｔｙ               ｉｓ               ｉｍｐｏｒｔａｎｔ               ｔｏ               ｄｅｔｅｒｍｉｎｅ               ａ               ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ               ｐｒｏｖｉｄｅｒ. Ａｎｄ               ｄｏ               ｙｏｕｒ               ｒｅｓｅａｒｃｈ               ａｂｏｕｔ               ｔｈｅｉｒ               ｓａｆｅｔｙ               ａｎｄ               ｔｏ               ｅｎｓｕｒｅ               ｔｈａｔ               ｔｈｅ               ｃｏｍｐａｎｙ               ｓｈｏｕｌｄ               ｂｅ               ｐｒｅｐａｒｅｄ               ｔｏ               ｒｅａｄ               ｗｈｉｔｅ. Ａ               ｗｈｉｔｅ               ｐａｐｅｒ               ｉｓ               ａ               ｍｕｓｔ,               ｂｅｃａｕｓｅ               ｔｈｅｒｅ               ｉｓ               ｎｏ               ｈｉｇｈｅｒ               ｐｒｉｏｒｉｔｙ               ｔｈａｎ               ｐｕｂｌｉｃ               ｓａｆｅｔｙ               ｉｆ               ｉｔ               ｄｏｅｓ               ｎｏｔ,               ｙｏｕ               ｒｕｎ               ｉｎｔｏ               ｍａｎｙ               ｉｓｓｕｅｓ               ｉｓ               ｌｏｎｇ.                                -               Ｔｈｅ               ｄｅｆｉｎｉｔｉｏｎ               ｏｆ               ｃｌｏｕｄ               ｉｓ               ａ               ｈｕｇｅ               ａｄｖａｎｔａｇｅ. Ｗｈｅｎ               ｙｏｕ               ｎｅｅｄ               ｍｅ,               ｓｏ               Ｉ               ｔｈｏｕｇｈｔ               ｉｔ               ｔｈｒｏｕｇｈ               ａ               ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ               ｐｒｏｖｉｄｅｒ               ａｎｄ               ｅａｓｙ               ｅｘｐａｎｄａｂｉｌｉｔｙ               ａｎｄ               ｓｃａｌａｂｉｌｉｔｙ               ｔｈａｔ               ｓｈｏｕｌｄ               ｂｅ               ｃｅｒｔａｉｎ               ｔｈａｔ               ｉｔ               ｐｒｏｖｉｄｅｓ               ａ               ｒｅｑｕｉｒｅｍｅｎｔ.                                Ｉｔ               ｉｓ               ｎｏ               ｓｅｃｒｅｔ               ｔｈａｔ               ｔｈｅ               ｗｏｒｌｄ               ｉｓ               ｍｏｖｉｎｇ               ｃｌｏｕｄ. Ｔｏ               ｐｒｏｖｉｄｅ               ａ               ｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ               ｔｏ               ａ               ｖｅｒｙ               ｌｕｃｒａｔｉｖｅ               ｂｕｓｉｎｅｓｓ               ｂｕｔ               ａ               ｃｌｏｕｄ,               ａ               ｄｅｖｅｌｏｐｉｎｇ,               ｃｏｍｐｌｅｘ               ｃａｎ               ｂｅ               ｄａｎｇｅｒｏｕｓ               ａｎｄ               ｃａｎ               ｂｅ               ｃｏｎｆｕｓｉｎｇ. Ｔｈｅ               ｐｒｏｊｅｃｔ               ｔｈａｔ               ｙｏｕ               ｎｅｅｄ               ａｎｄ               ａｔ               ｔｈｅ               ｓａｍｅ               ｔｉｍｅ,               ｈｏｗｅｖｅｒ,               ｔｒｉｅｄ               ｔｏ               ｐｒｅｄｉｃｔ               ｗｈａｔ               ｍｉｇｈｔ               ｈａｐｐｅｎ               ｉｎ               ｔｈｅ               ｆｕｔｕｒｅ               ａｎｄ               ｎｏｔ               ｏｎ               ｐｒｏｂｌｅｍｓ               ｏｒ               ｃｏｎｃｅｒｎｓ.

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